Press

Rapid repricing helped the market to find its way back to moderate growth in some areas. Investment in industrial premises and logistics reached €42bn in 2024, +23% compared to last year. Industrial & logistics investment hit its lowest point in 2023 and returned to growth in 2024. This reflects an improvement in financial conditions. Further adjustments by central banks to key interest rates are expected in 2025 before they stabilise.

As part of its diversification strategy, the BNP Paribas REIM business line is launching the Healthcare & Hospitality Practice, a pan-European division devoted to the healthcare and hospitality real estate segments.

“Office markets continued to suffer from the uncertain political and economic environment in some European countries, and investors remained cautious on the asset category, which has been affected by structural changes in the way people work over the last five years. Overall, 2024 ended with a stabilisation in take-up and a slight increase in the volumes invested in offices. There could be a more pronounced recovery in 2025 if the economic and financial situation lastingly improves.” says Argie Taylor, Head of BNP Paribas Real Estate’s International Investment Group.

BNP Paribas Real Estate Investment Management (BNP Paribas REIM) presents its Lighthouse Report for H1 2025, an outlook for the European real estate market using its in-house forecasts, analysis, and the expertise of its local teams. In this tenth edition, BNP Paribas REIM defines its convictions and provides the investment strategies to adopt considering the expected macroeconomic and financial environment for 2025.

BNP Paribas Real Estate Investment Management (BNP Paribas REIM) is pressing ahead with its development strategy centred on its customers and partners.

As European commercial real estate markets adjust, the different asset categories are following diverging trajectories: retail is still in third place, accounting for around 20% of overall investment (vs. 14% at the end of the Covid crisis in late 2021), behind logistics assets, which remain popular, and offices, which are still struggling. Indeed, for the first time, investment in offices and logistics is neck and neck, with each accounting for 25% of overall investment over the last 12 months. After retail premises come hotels, which have flourished on the back of keener investor interest; investment in the category has surged by 40% year-on-year and they now account for 12% of allocations.

Logistics letting markets have generally held up well despite weak economic growth which is expected to remain positive in 2024. Indeed, GDP growth started to pick up in the Euro area at the beginning of the year from +0.5% in 2023 to +0.8 % forecast in 2024.

Occupier concerns about cost control in a still weak economy are slowing expansion. In H1 2024, the market decreased by 5% versus H1 2023. Demand has been lagging and most countries recorded a slow start to the year. Yet, market fundamentals remain healthy despite rising supply in some countries and there are signs of inventories increasing in the second half of 2025.

BNP Paribas REIM presents “The Lighthouse H2 2024 – European Property Market Outlook”, its outlook for the European real estate market using its in-house forecasts, analysis, and the expertise of its local teams. In this nineth edition, BNP Paribas REIM defines its convictions and provides the investment strategies to adopt considering the expected macroeconomic and financial environment for the rest of 2024 and beyond.